Originally Posted by MOZ
First, thank you for the work done to create this ratings analysis.
The underlying population is changing over time.
- Some players drop off the active playing list.
- Some players join the active playing list
- Some players improve their chess playing skill.
I would speculate the third category are taking rating points from the two rating cohorts that seem to be on a down-ward trend.
Moz,
I tested your theory above and you are right ... of course.
Using March 09 data as the basis for comparison,
Code:
1600-1899 group
Players Players in Mar-09 Players not in Mar-09
Mar-09 49
Sep-09 59 23 36
Mar-10 43 20 23
Code:
1300-1599 group
Players Players in Mar-09 Players not in Mar-09
Mar-09 43
Sep-09 77 25 52
Mar-10 68 20 48